Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds at 20Bet Blog 04.03.2025

• Date and Time: Tuesday, March 4, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain
• Competition: Champions League

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Preview

Real Madrid

Real Madrid fell to third place in La Liga after a 2-1 defeat to Real Betis. An early lead through Brahim Diaz (10’) was not enough to secure the three points, as Johnny Cardoso equalized and Isco scored the winner from the penalty spot. 

Carlo Ancelotti’s team will be without Dani Ceballos against Atlético, expected to be out for the next two months due to injury. The Italian head coach relied on the Spaniard as a replacement for Toni Kroos, but with Ceballos now unavailable, finding an alternative has become urgent. In the meantime, Real Madrid weren’t able to win as they were imprecise across all phases of play.

However, Real Madrid secured a crucial 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad at the Reale Arena in the Copa del Rey quarter finals. The second leg will take place at the Santiago Bernabéu in a month. This was another match where Madrid failed to assert dominance, with Carlo Ancelotti giving Arda Güler his first playing minutes of the year. 

Real Madrid have won just one of their last five La Liga matches (2-0 vs Girona), putting Carlo Ancelotti under renewed scrutiny. The team already dropped points against Osasuna and Atlético Madrid. 

Jude Bellingham is suspended, while Dani Carvajal, Dani Ceballos, Éder Militao, and Jesús Vallejo remain sidelined through injury.

Real Madrid predicted line-up vs Atlético Madrid (4-4-2): Courtois; Mendy, Alaba, Rüdiger, Asencio; Diaz, Tchouaméni, Modrić, Rodrygo; Vinicius, Mbappé.

Real Madrid predicted lineup vs Atlético Madrid (formation): 

Atlético Madrid 

Atlético Madrid sit in second place in La Liga after a crucial 1-0 victory against Athletic Club, with Julian Álvarez coming in clutch once again. The Argentinian celebrated his tenth goal in La Liga, despite starting on the bench. 

When asked about Álvarez’s quality, Diego Simeone likened his impact to that of Luis Suárez and David Villa, though he emphasized that they are different types of players. 

His runs in behind are key to the team’s success, complementing Antoine Griezmann’s movement in the penalty box. 

Atlético Madrid led 2-0 away against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey within the first ten minutes, but threw the lead away as Barcelona turned the score around (3-2). However, late game substitutions allowed Atlético Madrid to equalize and the match ended in a spectacular 4-4 draw. 

The match was full of counter-attack, with Barcelona wasting important chances in the first half. The second leg is scheduled for early April at the Metropolitano. 

César Azpilicueta and Koke remain sidelined through injury.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup vs Real Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Gálan, Gimenez, Le Normand, Llorente; Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone; Álvarez, Griezmann.

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

• Pick: Real Madrid to win
• Odds: -111 (20Bet)
• Score prediction: Real Madrid 1-0 Atlético Madrid 

Despite struggling against Real Betis without Dani Ceballos, Carlo Ancelotti’s team will be favorites in the derby, given their ability to step up in big matches in the Champions League. Throughout the last few years, Real Madrid have displayed different levels of play depending on the competition. 

Atlético Madrid often perform well in Champions League knockouts, but they tend to have a mental block against their neighbor. Time and again, they have opted to sit deep and absorb pressure, often struggling to impose themselves in these fixtures. 

Considering Real Madrid fans are expected to step up in attendance at the Santiago Bernabéu, this tie is likely to sway in Real Madrid’s favour.

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tip  

• Pick: Kylian Mbappé to score 
• Odds: +106 (20Bet)

Kylian Mbappé struggled to make an impact against Real Betis, but could be the ideal tool to exploit Atlético Madrid’s slow backline. His pace has been a determining factor in the last months, and should José Maria Giménez start, he will have the physical advantage when running behind his marker. 

With Jude Bellingham suspended, responsibility to lead the attack will fall back on Mbappé’s shoulders.

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Where to Watch (USA, Canada)

• Paramount+, TUDN, UniMás, ViX, Fubo (USA)
• DAZN (Canada)

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all soccer predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.

By Kai Iliev

Updated: 04 Mar 2025, 10:31