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Moldova vs Italy Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 13.11.2025

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Event Details

  • Date and Time: Thursday, November 13, 2025, 2:30 PM EST
  • Venue: Zimbru Stadium, Chișinău, Moldova
  • Competition: World Cup Qualification 
Odds via 20Bet
Moldova vs ItalyThursday, November 13, 2025, 2:30 PM EST
Moldova Odds+5200
Italy Odds-2500
Draw+1100
Over 2.5-323
Betting BonusUp to 100 $/€

Moldova vs Italy Preview and Team News

Moldova Team News

Lilian Popescu will be in charge of Moldova as they end their World Cup qualification campaign over the next seven days. It’s been a forgettable campaign for the minnows, as they’ve failed to win in their six matches. 

In fact, they’ve underperformed defensively, shipping a group-high 26 goals. Despite that, confidence would have been gained following a 1-1 draw against Estonia in their latest outing, as they played an expansive counterattacking style. 

However, they still conceded 17 shots in the draw, which would be a major concern against such a talented Italian side. A defensive 5-3-2 approach is likely, with Bogaciuc, Rata, and Caimacov expected to play important roles in midfield in order to protect the defensive line. 

Moldova predicted lineup vs Italy (5-3-2): Avram; Forov, Craciun, Baboglo, Gherasimencov, Reabciuk; Caimacov, Rata, Bogaciuc; Perciun, Postolachi.

Italy Team News

Gennaro Gattuso has been tasked with salvaging Italy’s World Cup qualifying campaign. The team have failed to qualify for the last two editions of the competitions, and they’ll require wins in their final two matches to stand any chance of avoiding an unwanted playoff. 

Gattuso fielded a fluid 4-3-3 formation in their recent win over Israel, which leaves the Italians within three points of Norway at the top of the Group I standings. Cambiaso and Raspadori played as attacking wingers in the system, with Retegui deployed as the number nine. 

Barella, Locatelli, and Tonali ensure that Italy have an experienced trio in the middle of the park, with Di Lorenzo and Dimarco encouraged to join attacking movements from the fullback positions. 

Italy predicted lineup vs Moldova (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Calafiori, Dimarco; Barella, Tonali, Locatelli; Cambiaso, Retegui, Raspadori.

Moldova vs Italy Prediction 

  • Pick: Italy (-3)
  • Odds: -105 (20Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Moldova 0-4 Italy

This is a mismatch between two nations in Group I, and it’s hard to overlook the clear claims of the visitors when making a Moldova vs Italy prediction. 

Gattuso has immediately gotten a response out of the players since taking the job, and the expansive 4-3-3 system is bound to unsettle a poor defensive nation this week. Moldova are expected to offer little to no attacking threat in this clash, and it’ll likely be a simple case of how many goals Italy will win by. 

Gattuso’s men will need a big win to close the goal-difference gap with Norway, and a four-goal margin on Thursday looks entirely possible. 

Moldova vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tip

  • Pick: Over 3.5 Goals
  • Odds: -119 (20Bet)

Moldova have struggled defensively throughout the World Cup qualifying campaign, meaning a big-scoring defeat is likely against a talented rival this week. 

The nation have conceded 3.1 goals per game throughout 2025, with that average increasing to 4.0 goals against per home fixture. 

Italy have been efficient on their travels offensively, scoring 2.4 goals per match, with their away outings averaging 4.6. 

Moldova vs Italy Where to Watch (USA, Canada) 

  • Fox (USA)
  • DAZN (Canada)

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