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Lens vs PSG Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 18.01.2025

16/01/25 Kai Iliev
Lens vs PSG Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips
RC Lens RC Lens
France. Ligue 1. Round 18 Jan 18, 2025 at 4:00 pm Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Paris Saint-Germain Paris Saint-Germain

RC Lens winsDrawParis Saint-Germain wins
4.184.081.755
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Who Will Win This Match?

RC LensParis Saint-Germain
All Competitions
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
All Competitions
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
LAST GAME: Le Havre 1 - 2 Lens
  • Ligue 1
  • Jan 12, 2025 at 2:00 pm
  • Stade Océane
LAST GAME: Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Saint-Etienne
  • Ligue 1
  • Jan 12, 2025 at 7:45 pm
  • Parc des Princes
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  • Date and Time: Saturday, January 18, 2025, 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France
  • Competition: Ligue 1
Odds via 20bet
Lens vs PSGSaturday, January 18, 2025, 10:00 AM ET
Lens odds +312
PSG odds -132
Draw+312
Over\UnderTotal 2.5: -176/+141

Lens vs PSG Preview 

Lens

It has been a largely positive start to the season for Lens, and they’re well in the mix for a European finish this term. The French club have won 7 of their 17 opening matches and sit just two points off the top five positions. 

There’s also a lot to like about their recent form after winning 3 of their last 5. The hosts will be without the suspended defender Kevin Danso on Saturday. But David Costa, Sidi Bane, and Ruben Aguilar are all fit enough to return to the side. 

Despite concerns surrounding available defenders, Lens have a positive xGA metric of 14.95, conceding just six goals from open play. However, their defensive approach has limited their freedom in the final third, and they have only scored 16 goals from an xG of 26.41. 

PSG

It’s been business as usual for PSG in Ligue 1 this season, and they’re one of just two teams across Europe’s top five divisions that are yet to suffer a loss. 

The Parisians come into this round after winning their previous three and have the best attacking and defensive records in Ligue 1. Luis Enrique has no fresh injury concerns ahead of this showdown. However, Presnel Kimpembe and Marquinhos remain out until next week’s Champions League showdown against Manchester City. 

Based on Lens’ strong defensive record, PSG will have to be at their attacking best this weekend. It could be argued that they’ve been wasteful in the final third this season, scoring just 39 goals from an xG of 48.84.

Lens vs PSG Prediction 

  • Pick: PSG (-1)
  • Odds: +130 (20Bet)
  • Score prediction: Lens 0-2 PSG

The lack of clinical edge shown by the hosts is a major concern for Saturday, as they’ve scored just 16 goals from open play. 

Despite boasting an excellent defensive record, it’s the first time this season Lens have come up against a side with PSG’s quality. The Parisians have been wasteful in the final third this season but are still ranking as the highest goalscorers in the French top flight. 

The trends also support the chances of an away win when making a Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction.  PSG have suffered just two defeats in their last 22 matches against their opponents across all competitions. 

Lens vs PSG Prediction, Betting Tip

  • Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
  • Odds: +141 (20Bet)

Despite PSG’s excellent attacking quality, under 2.5 goals looks to have an excellent chance this weekend. Lens have only conceded 6 goals from open play, and their low-block approach should give them the best chance of upsetting the odds. Paris Saint-Germain’s wasteful nature in front of goal is also reflected in their poor comparison between goals and xG.

However, we expect PSG to come out on top, and their primary goalscoring angle could come in the form of Bradley Barcola. The attacking midfielder has scored ten in 17 appearances this season and has accumulated an xG of 9.92 from an average of 3.56 shots per 90.

Lens vs PSG Where to Watch (USA, Canada)

  • Prime Video (USA)
  • FuboTV (Canada)

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