- Date and Time: Saturday, November 23, 2024, 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, England
- Competition: Premier League
| Odds via 20bet | |
| Bournemouth vs Brighton | November 23, 10:00 AM EDT |
| Bournemouth Odds | +132 |
| Brighton Odds | +195 |
| Draw | +254 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: -164/+138 |
Bournemouth vs Brighton Preview
Bournemouth
Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth will be looking to bounce back to form this weekend after losing in their final match before the international break. The Cherries have shown glimpses of their potential at the Vitality Stadium, winning three consecutive home matches, including an impressive scalp against Manchester City.
Despite their attacking talent, Bournemouth are still underperforming based on their xG metric of 15.85, having scored ten goals from open play this season. Their chances could be restricted further in the final third this weekend, with both Antoine Semenyo and Dango Ouattara likely to be unavailable.
However, Iraola could have ready-made replacements for the wingers, with Marcus Tavernier and Luis Sinisterra likely to deputize.
Brighton
It would be hard to overlook Brighton & Hove Albion when assessing the teams in the race for a Champions League finish this season. The Seagulls have won three of their last five matches and displayed excellent soccer in their latest outing before the international break when beating Manchester City.
A trait of their game has been winning the ball back high in the attacking third, with only Tottenham and City recording more than Brighton’s 99 so far this season.
But, their defensive xGA of 14.29 is being massively outperformed by the Brighton, who have conceded just eleven goals from open play. A huge decision will be made this weekend, as João Pedro is back to full fitness and could replace Georginio Rutter in the number nine role alongside Danny Welbeck.
Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction
- Pick: Bournemouth to win
- Odds: +132 (20Bet)
- Score prediction: Bournemouth 2-0 Brighton
These two sides match up very closely based on the xG and xGA metrics, and an interesting clash is likely at the Vitality Stadium.
However, Bournemouth’s ability on the counter-attack could be the decisive factor, as Brighton have typically struggled when trying to unlock deeper defenses.
Bournemouth’s chances are enhanced further based on the fact that they have won four of their last five home matches against the Brighton.
In fact, Bournemouth’s 80% win rate in home matches against Brighton is their best against a single opponent in the Premier League.
Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Evanilson to Score
- Odds: +185 (20Bet)
Brazilian striker Evanilson is beginning to show why Bournemouth paid a club-record fee to sign him in the summer. He has scored four in eleven Premier League appearances this season and is operating at an xG of 5.21.
His aerial threat could be a key angle to consider when making a Bournemouth vs Brighton prediction, as he has recorded an average of 4.44 shots per 90 so far this season.
Additionally, Brighton to receive under 3.5 cards looks a good alternative betting angle. The Seagulls have averaged 1.91 cards per match this season, and only 55% of their matches have seen over 4.5 cards brandished.
Bournemouth vs Brighton Where to Watch (USA, Canada)
- Peacock (USA)
- Fubo (Canada)
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