| Athletic Bilbao wins | Draw | Elfsborg wins |
|---|---|---|
| 1.185 | 7.2 | 13.5 |
| Athletic Bilbao | Elfsborg |
|---|---|
All Competitions
| All Competitions
|
LAST GAME: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
| LAST GAME: Djurgaarden 0 - 3 Elfsborg
|
Event Details
- Date and Time: Thursday, November 28, 2024 12:45 PM ET
- Venue: San Mames, Bilbao, Spain
- Competition: Europa League
Odds via 20Bet
| Odds via 20bet | |
| Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg | November 28, 12:45 PM ET |
| Athletic Bilbao Odds | -477 |
| Elfsborg Odds | +1200 |
| Draw | +620 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: -218/+179 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg Preview
Athletic Bilbao
Spanish club Athletic Bilbao may be one of the sleeper picks in the Europa League at this early stage. Bilbao come into the fifth round of matches sitting sixth in the standings after winning three straight matches in the competition.
Despite showing excellent quality in the final third this season, the Spanish club are still underperforming based on the xG metric of 15.90 after netting 14 goals from open play. However, Inaki Williams’s performances have caught the eye.
⌛️ @EuropaLeague 🇪🇺
Ready? Yes we are!#AthleticElfsborg #UniqueInTheWorld 🦁 pic.twitter.com/w9KaDR7EyX
— Athletic Club (@Athletic_en) November 27, 2024
The forward has registered seven goal involvements in 13 matches this term, and is averaging an xA of 4.01 in La Liga. However, Ernesto Valverde could make changes from his normal starting eleven given the gulf in class between these two sides. Therefore, Ander Herrera, Mikel Jauregizar, and Gorka Guruzeta could all be handed starts.
Elfsborg
Swedish side Elfsborg have struggled in the Europa League to this point after winning just once in their opening four matches. However, they could yet upset the odds and finish in a playoff position.
Their defensive record deserves plenty of respect after allowing just eight goals to this point.
But, it could be worth mentioning that their defensive structure will be tested against one of the best teams in the competition this week. In away matches, the Swedish club average an xGA of 1.46, which is considerably higher than the same metric of 1.19 in home matches.
2⃣ days until #AthleticElfsborg of the @EuropaLeague#AthleticClub 🦁 pic.twitter.com/op82z9veNp
— Athletic Club (@Athletic_en) November 26, 2024
Meanwhile, their xG also shows that they create fewer scoring opportunities on the road with a metric of 1.29 on the road compared to 1.64 in home matches. Per Frick is a notable player missing this week, as the striker has been ruled out for the season. His absence will further limit their attacking threat, which is worth considering before making an Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg prediction.
Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg Prediction
- Pick: Athletic Bilbao to win
- Odds: -477 (20Bet)
- Score prediction: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Elfsborg
Despite Valverde likely to make changes this week, it remains challenging to oppose the home team in the betting. Bilbao boasts excellent quality in the forward areas, and many of their positive results in the Europa League have already been picked up while resting senior players.
Elfsborg have conceded an average of two goals per game in the competition this term, meaning Bilbao can expect to create excellent chances in the final third of the field. Given their historical dominance in this competition, a comfortable win in Bilbao looks likely on Thursday.
Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Dani Vivian to Score
- Odds: +660 (20Bet)
The odds for the Bilbao strikers to score this week will be too short. Therefore, it could be worth taking a chance on defender Dani Vivian to find the net.
The defender has already scored twice from an xG of 0.48 this season, and the Spanish club’s threat from corners is well worth taking into account.
Bilbao have scored three goals from corners already this season, outperforming their xG of 2.80. That angle could be worthwhile based on the competitive prices available.
Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg Where to Watch (USA, Canada)
- Paramount+ (USA)
- DAZN (Canada)
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